PA-11: Kanjorski Trails in New R2K Poll

Research 2000 (10/6-8, likely voters):

Paul Kanjorski (D-inc): 39

Lou Barletta (R): 43

(MoE: ±5%)

Woof. Barletta has been posting lead after lead in his own internal polling, and a recent Franklin & Marshall College poll also agrees. With R2K now in Barletta’s corner (although by a much closer margin), the only favorable numbers for Kanjorski have been Grove Insight internal polls for the DCCC. Not promising.

Democrats had an enormously one-sided victory in 2006, losing no seats in Congress. It seems likely that Dems will make sizable gains again this year, but it won’t be entirely blood-less on our side. This race is in danger of becoming one of the few Dem losses.

SSP currently rates this race as a Tossup.

10 thoughts on “PA-11: Kanjorski Trails in New R2K Poll”

  1. from all of the Hillary/Biden campaigning in Scranton this past weekend, but I’m not optimistic about this race.

    And the DCCC obviously isn’t above releasing very questionable polls.  

  3. I really wouldn’t mind seeing Kanjorski, out of all the Democratic opponents go down, particularly because of this precious quote:

    “After the August 1, 2007 collapse of the I-35W Mississippi River bridge in Minneapolis, Minnesota, Kanjorski said he believed the $250,000,000 bill passed by Congress to rebuild the bridge was a ripoff because it exceeded the normal $100,000,000 limit for emergency relief projects.  He added in saying that Minnesotans ‘discovered they were going to get all the money from the federal government and they were taking all they could get’ and that they took the opportunity ‘to screw us.'”

    A little mean-spirited there, me thinks.  

  4. if they can’t win in this environment move on. they are obvioulsy not doing something right or have pissed enough people in their district off. we have plenty of open seats and challengers to worry about.  

  5. one Democratic incumbent to lose…obviously right now it would be Tim Mahoney, but Kanjorski would not be far behind.  He has occasionally been maligned (unfairly IMO) for pork-barreling, so he really should have known better than to make that remark about the bridge in Minnesota.

    He’s also basically a Republican on social issues, which might also be a reason why he’s having trouble now – why should Democrats turn out for a guy who votes against their interests anyway? – but then again it might not, because there simply aren’t very many social-issue liberals in that part of PA.

    I’ve mentioned before that I interned for Kanjorski once. It was not a bad experience, and I really am trying to work up some enthusiasm and hope that he pulls it out. But I just can’t quite do it.  

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